Prediction of Alzheimer's Dementia Risk Based on Interpretable Machine Learning

FU Dan; SUN Yue; GUO Jin-xin; CHEN Guang-xin; HAN Yang

doi:10.3969/j.issn.2096-6091.2023.24.003

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Prediction of Alzheimer's Dementia Risk Based on Interpretable Machine Learning

RESEARCH PAPER | 更新时间：2025-03-26

- Prediction of Alzheimer's Dementia Risk Based on Interpretable Machine Learning
- New Generation of Information Technology Vol. 6, Issue 24, Pages: 12-16(2023)
- 作者机构：
  
  1.牡丹江医学院医学影像学院，黑龙江牡丹江 157011
  2.牡丹江医学院附属红旗医院，黑龙江牡丹江 157011
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.3969/j.issn.2096-6091.2023.24.003
  CLC： R195
- Published：31 December 2023
- 稿件说明：
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富丹, 孙悦, 郭金兴, 等. 基于可解释性机器学习的阿尔茨海默症痴呆风险预测[J]. 新一代信息技术, 2023, 6(24): 12-16

FU Dan, SUN Yue, GUO Jin-xin, et al. Prediction of Alzheimer's Dementia Risk Based on Interpretable Machine Learning[J]. New Generation of Information Technology, 2023, 6(24): 12-16
富丹, 孙悦, 郭金兴, 等. 基于可解释性机器学习的阿尔茨海默症痴呆风险预测[J]. 新一代信息技术, 2023, 6(24): 12-16 DOI： 10.3969/j.issn.2096-6091.2023.24.003.

FU Dan, SUN Yue, GUO Jin-xin, et al. Prediction of Alzheimer's Dementia Risk Based on Interpretable Machine Learning[J]. New Generation of Information Technology, 2023, 6(24): 12-16 DOI： 10.3969/j.issn.2096-6091.2023.24.003.

摘要

阿尔茨海默病（AD）是当今社会面临的重要挑战之一，早期诊断对于有效治疗AD至关重要。本研究探索了机器学习算法在预测AD风险方面的应用，并使用了多种模型进行比较。结果显示选择的多种模型，由于数据集中的缺失值，预测效果并不理想。SHAP特征分析揭示了抑郁症和APOE ε4等位基因在模型预测中的关键作用。未来的研究应进一步探索这些遗传和环境因素对AD发病机制的影响，并利用先进技术优化预测模型，以提高早期诊断和干预能力，为阿尔茨海默症的预防和治疗提供更精准有效的方法。

Abstract

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is one of the important challenges facing society today

however

early diagnosis is essential for effective treatment. This study explores the application of machine learning algorithms in predicting AD risk and uses a variety of models for comparison. The results show that although the model selection is rich

the prediction effect is not ideal due to missing values in the data set. SHAP profile analysis revealed the key role of depression and APOE ε4 allele in model prediction. Future studies should further explore the influence of these genetic and environmental factors on the pathogenesis of AD

and optimize predictive models with advanced technologies to improve early diagnosis and intervention capabilities

and provide more accurate and effective methods for the prevention and treatment of Alzheimer's disease.

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references

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